Publications

I believe the leaders of the top labs are making reckless decisions in how much autonomy and capability they're giving to their models.

Advertising built on that archive creates a potential for manipulating users in ways we don't have the tools to understand, let alone prevent.

I believe it is plausible that an AGI system could be built in as little as three years.

They want to use them for winning wars or manipulating electorates.

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Estimated a 10-20% chance that AI causes human extinction within the next three decades (paraphrase of BBC Radio 4 remarks as reported by The Guardian, Dec. 27, 2024).

Paraphrase — not a verbatim quotation.Source

AI timelines have been consistently shorter than most experts predicted. The pace of progress has surprised nearly everyone.

Our current alignment techniques will not scale to superintelligence.

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I left OpenAI because I lost confidence that it would behave responsibly around the time of AGI. I think AGI is coming and that we are not on track to handle it responsibly.

But the hype begins to fade as the unrealistic expectations from 2022-2023 fail to materialize.

But this approach, by its very nature, guarantees periodic failures—and the scale of those failures is growing as systems get more capable.

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I believe AI will most likely be disastrous for humanity.

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Within the next couple of years, we may be sharing the world with AI agents smarter than any human alive today.

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I now think that there's a terrifying chance that AI systems cause immense harm in the next five years.

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I think it's possible that the AI companies might, in the next few years, succeed in building superintelligent AI systems that far exceed human capabilities in every domain.

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Building smarter-than-human machines is an inherently dangerous endeavor. OpenAI is shouldering an enormous responsibility on behalf of all of humanity. But over the past years, safety culture and processes have taken a back seat.

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Argued that leading labs' security was far from sufficient to protect model weights from state actors (paraphrase of "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead," June 2024).

Paraphrase — not a verbatim quotation.Source

Argued the U.S. government was dangerously unprepared for transformative AI, with national-security implications rivaling nuclear weapons (paraphrase of "Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead," June 2024).

Paraphrase — not a verbatim quotation.Source

Over the past years, safety culture and processes have taken a back seat to shiny products.

Verbatim excerpt.Source