Publications

I'm scared that the bad actors are going to use it for manipulating elections, for example. And I don't see how you prevent that.

Over the past years, safety culture and processes have taken a back seat to shiny products.

I believe the leaders of the top labs are making reckless decisions in how much autonomy and capability they're giving to their models.

AI timelines have been consistently shorter than most experts predicted. The pace of progress has surprised nearly everyone.

I think the probability of existential threat in the next 20 years is somewhere between 10 and 20 percent. That's enough to worry about.

The question of how humans can supervise AI systems smarter than them is one of the most important unsolved problems in AI safety.

Building smarter-than-human machines is an inherently dangerous endeavor. OpenAI is shouldering an enormous responsibility on behalf of all of humanity. But over the past years, safety culture and processes have taken a back seat.

I left OpenAI because I lost confidence that it would behave responsibly around the time of AGI. I think AGI is coming and that we are not on track to handle it responsibly.

If a frontier AI lab cannot protect its model weights from state-level espionage, it has no business building models that could pose catastrophic risks.

The United States government is dangerously unprepared for the arrival of transformative AI. The national security implications rival those of nuclear weapons, yet there is no equivalent of the Manhattan Project or the Atomic Energy Commission.

But the hype begins to fade as the unrealistic expectations from 2022-2023 fail to materialize.