Disproven

AI hype will fade as unrealistic expectations fail to materialize

“But the hype begins to fade as the unrealistic expectations from 2022-2023 fail to materialize.”

Resolution Criteria

Evidence that public and investor enthusiasm for AI declined meaningfully by 2024-2025.

Resolution

Prediction disproven

AI hype accelerated through 2024-2025 rather than fading. Investment in AI companies surged to record levels, major tech companies increased AI spending dramatically, and public attention intensified with the mainstream adoption of ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude.

View evidence →

Resolved 1/1/2025